Publications
Articles
Does Working from Home Boost Productivity Growth?
January, 2024
John G. Fernald, Ethan Goode, Huiyu Li, Brigid Meisenbacher
The COVID-19 pandemic's shift to remote and hybrid work has raised questions about its impact on U.S. productivity growth. We analyze the relationship between telework adaptability and productivity growth across industries to understand how the rise in off site work may impact the macroeconomy.
How Long Do Rising Temperatures Affect Economic Growth?
June, 2023
Gregory Casey, Stephie Fried, Ethan Goode
How might rising global temperatures influence GDP growth in the long-run? By synthesizing decades of country-level weather data with a standard growth model we project the impact of future temperature change on global economic output.
The Fiscal Multiplier at the Zero Bound: Evidence from Japan
May, 2021
Ethan Goode, Zheng Liu, Thuy Lan Nguyen
How do fiscal policy measures and zero-bound interest rates interact to influence economic recovery? Insights from Japan offer a perspective on how government spending might have amplified effects in a sustained zero-rate environment, especially during recessions.
Journal Publications
Projecting the Impact of Rising Temperatures: The Role of Macroeconomic Dynamics
June, 2023
Gregory Casey, Stephie Fried, Ethan Goode
How do rising temperatures influence economic growth? By separating temporary and permanent impacts on output per capita, this study offers new projections of climate change's economic effects, challenging assumptions about long-term growth impacts.